Construction of appropriate model for Enrolment Projection of India
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Abstract
There are different models used for enrolment projection in the education system. Of them ARIMA, double exponential, logistic curve method, reconstructive cohort, and regression model, method are commonly used. Every model has its suitability under certain conditions and with prior assumptions. In India, no attempt was made to estimate enrolment except in 1996. The logistic curve method was adopted to estimate enrolment between 1996 – 2001. In the present situation, an attempt has been made to estimate school enrolment for the next years. The present paper discusses fitting the best model for estimating enrolment for the next few years.
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